Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.116470 0.134543 0.154254 0.177316 0.203527 0.232355 0.266432
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.094562 0.119881 0.149878 0.187901 0.234664 0.290139 0.360768
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.073979 0.102055 0.137893 0.186676 0.250988 0.332463 0.443030
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063517 0.094448 0.136614 0.197696 0.283190 0.397748 0.561832
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.053315 0.084992 0.130873 0.201220 0.305160 0.451612 0.671681
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043610 0.074258 0.121255 0.197234 0.315259 0.489392 0.762729
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036514 0.066114 0.113964 0.195182 0.327232 0.530336 0.861892
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033211 0.063502 0.114806 0.205680 0.359405 0.604501 1.018296
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030194 0.060790 0.114938 0.214754 0.389947 0.678701 1.181518
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025426 0.054005 0.106926 0.208552 0.393743 0.709410 1.276480
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022073 0.049299 0.101897 0.206811 0.404727 0.752651 1.395695
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018816 0.044184 0.095289 0.201111 0.407625 0.781727 1.492482
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016253 0.040128 0.090281 0.198053 0.415514 0.821210 1.612998
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014709 0.038037 0.088962 0.202161 0.437607 0.888696 1.790651
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012595 0.034225 0.083412 0.196737 0.440091 0.919490 1.902565
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011838 0.033544 0.084631 0.205917 0.473380 1.012578 2.141574
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010698 0.031677 0.082862 0.208234 0.492420 1.079132 2.334229
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009280 0.028790 0.078237 0.203387 0.495356 1.113260 2.464800
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008181 0.026547 0.074818 0.200872 0.503080 1.157787 2.620084
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007843 0.026414 0.076701 0.211415 0.541632 1.270703 2.926840
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007459 0.026067 0.077974 0.220585 0.577896 1.381623 3.237831
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006475 0.023665 0.073372 0.214153 0.576249 1.409049 3.370681
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005785 0.022050 0.070676 0.212327 0.585564 1.461681 3.562886